


Animal behaviour-based early warning system (Table 18).The local people recognize approximately seven types of winds, which enable them to predict the weather, its severity, droughts and other climatic changes. Wind-based early warning system (Table 17).The two ways in which weather is forecast by the community are: “ Goat herders” by paulchapmanphotos is licensed under CC BY-NC-ND 2.0. The community, like other vulnerable communities in the region, has a keen observation of wind and animal behaviour in order to forecast the weather and prepare early for it.

Approximately 96 families reside in the village, with the majority relying on cultivation for their livelihood. The community has passed on knowledge through generations about early warning of weather-related calamities for disaster management. The most advanced practice of the early warning system is developed by elders in village of Nahar Kot, Barkhan district, Balochistan for disaster risk reduction. Here is the extract from the report (publication in September). For example, when goats “Keep their face towards the east, put their fore limbs on a stone and look upward to the sky”, rain is imminent. Not only that, but through generations of herding animals they can forecast weather changes from how an animal is positioned towards the wind. According to research by the Lahore University of Management Sciences (LUMS) for ITC the elders can recognize seven local winds and their expected weather outcome. How would you get your weather information? Local elders interpreting the local winds. Imagine you are a farmer in the arid and mountainous province of Balochistan in Pakistan.
